AbstractsBiology & Animal Science

Marine systems undergo changes in community composition over time as a result of a variety of environmental and anthropogenic factors. Understanding these community changes and the factors that drive them is critical for ecosystem management of marine resources. The Gulf of Alaska (GOA) is a large marine ecosystem that includes a variety of species that support large scale fisheries. This is also a system in which large scale community shifts, or regime shifts, have occurred due to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and fishing pressure. Given the economic and conservation importance of this marine system, the GOA has been modeled using a variety of multispecies, or ecosystem, models. While this work has been critical in understanding the ecosystem dynamics of the GOA and helped generate management recommendations for commercial species, these models often make assumptions regarding trophic-dynamics, particularly that predator-prey relationships follow a standard functional response and do not change through time in response to environmental variables. However, empirical evidence suggests that a predator's diet can be influenced by a variety of factors, abiotic and biotic, at large and small spatial scales. Our overall objective was to investigate the potential impact environmental variables may have in structuring this ecosystem by using statistical analyses of diets and an ecosystem modeling framework. We focused on three commercially and ecologically important groundfish predators: Pacific Cod (Gadus macrocephalus), Pacific Halibut (Hippoglossus stenolepis), and Sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria). We also focused on a key prey species, Walleye Pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus), and used environmental data collected during trawl surveys and PDO data generated for the entire North Pacific region. The first study completed was focused solely on the consumption of Walleye Pollock, a critical fishery species and ecosystem link. We used data from trawl surveys to determine the potential influence of local environmental variables on the predation rate of Walleye Pollock in the system by these groundfish. Using an information-theoretic approach, we found that predator length was positively related to Walleye Pollock presence and proportion of total diet weight in all predators. Increased temperatures positively affected consumption of Walleye Pollock by Pacific Halibut, but not the other predators. We found evidence for a number of inter-predator effects of co-occurring predators, both positive (facultative) and negative (competitive). Observed prey density was not statistically significant with respect to consumption for these predators, suggesting that trawls sample the environment differently than Walleye Pollock predators or species interactions are more complex than those used in previous multispecies models. In our second study, we considered the entire diet of these predators, rather than one key prey. Furthermore, because PDO had been described as leading to community changes in the system previously, we… Advisors/Committee Members: Heppell, Selina S. (advisor), Thompson, Grant G. (committee member).